Finally that time of the week! It’s SPECULATION DAY! This is the new “edition”. I hope you all take time to read and or/comment these kind of posts. I know how much you like to discuss topics, yo! I decided to start this speculation posts again by request and because I thought some people may be assured that they’re not the only one thinking some ideas, and also to let this blog be more lively as it was in past.
I don’t know how much I’m gonna discuss today, but let’s start with the argument that’s been on people’s mouths
blogs since the Season Premiere… Who is the baby daddy? Could it be Chuck, could it be Louis?
Of course everyone of us thinks it’s Chuck. But there are some confusing issues with timelines that haven’t been explained yet. This doesn’t mean that we need to doubt about Chuck being the father. We just need to wait, because being positive is the right state of mind. Many of you didn’t think Blair could be the one being pregnant, and here she is! About to get married and about to have her life changed by a baby.
We have really no idea if Louis and Blair had sex. She mentions them spending the night together in 4.20, but did we ever see them making out (please please spare us this scene, kthanks)? Practically, no. 4.20 time is May 2nd (when Chuck has the scruff), and May 3rd (BL scene in B’s room and Princesses’ Party). How do I know? Simply because you can see a “Monday May 2 2011” in the magazine that you see on Chuck’s living room table, this one (click for bigger):
Louis has arrived in NYC in 4.18, which was the week between April 11 and April 18. In fact that episode aired on April 18. Blair didn’t get to see him up until next episode, which is the day after he arrives, around April 14 or so I guess.
There’s a funny anecdote connected to this. Remember one of Blair’s idols, Grace Kelly? We all know she was a famous American actress until she found her Prince and soon stopped acting for him. Prince Ranieri III was looking for a wife at that time, and he went to the US just for that. He and Grace had exchanged few letters, and he wanted to meet her in person. Fate (or case) wants that after Ranieri met Grace, he proposed to her three days later.
Coincidences wants they got married on April 18, 1956 with a civil ceremony. The day after with religious ceremony. Few months later, in January of 1957, they had their first daughter Caroline.
Doesn’t this look so familiar to you? Well, I’ll tell you that if Blair’s pregnancy comes to term, the baby will be delivered around the end of January. How do I know? Haha. That’s a million dollar question. Since GG Writers love to parallel things, searching on Google I found out January 27th is the day Monegasque people celebrate the saint of their princedom, Saint Devote. Oh. Casuality that’s where Blair and Louis wedding is going to be held!
Well, I tried guessing Blair and Louis’ sexual encounter happened during the week before May 6th (what was written on the cheque Chuck gives to the guy at the Bat mitzvah) because in 4.21 that is basically also 4.22, Chuck tells Blair that he’s been going through a lot since that night of 4.20 (that supposedly happened on May 2nd like the newspaper said), and after April 14 (4.19). Considering Louis’ mom arrives in 4.20 I don’t think BL consumed while she was there, because I bet Sophie was close to her son and was inspecting Blair with suspicious eyes. So before? Well like I said 4.20 is on May 2nd/3rd, so then.
Why am I thinking this, why I look so sure (or almost)? Because in 4.19 the day after Louis comes to NYC, the major event of the episode is the Breast Cancer Awareness fund-raiser party, a real event that our beloved Lily (Kelly Rutherford) attended for real on April 14. If they respected the real life timeline, so that 4.19 happened on April 14 (I said Louis may had come to NYC after April 11), then 4.20 should had happened few weeks after. (I think Sophie didn’t want to wait any longer to surprise her son with a visit. Haha.) This means that from 4.20 to 4.21/4.22 passes no more than a week. There’s no mention of sex between Blair and Louis after 4.20, so I supposed they don’t have it?
Like you, I am confused by the timelines. So I searched a website where you can count how many days you are pregnant (supposedly) considering the date of your last period/supposed date of when you think is going to be delivered.
I tried with Chuck and not Louis because supposedly they had sex with Blair the same week, quite like Chuck and Nate during episode 1.13. Chuck, considering he and Blair SURELY had sex on May 6th (there’s the cheque to prove it, yo), and Louis,considering he and Blair had sex between April 14 and May 6 (just to confuse things more!).
Here’s what I get if I put that January 27th 2012 date that is the Saint Devote date and the due date for a baby conceived during the 2 – 7 May week (I had tried a different site that told me a baby conceived around May 6th could be due in those days of Winter), and see what we get (click on the pic to see it bigger):
Well, timeline is perfect, isn’t it?
But there’s also Louis. Considering we don’t know when 5.01 is set – July or August, because the seamstress just guessed she was 6 weeks along – I will guess that Blair was already pregnant after May 6th, whether the baby is Chuck’s or not.
The fact is that if 4.20 is set on May 2nd/3rd like you can see in the pic, either Chuck or Louis can still be the fathers because the test was taken before Blair left. But there’s no way in my opinion that she may be pregnant with Louis.
- 4.18 – Louis arrives, between April 11 and April 18
- 4.19 – Breast Cancer Awareness Party, April 14
- 4.20 – Newspaper says it’s May 2nd, events also take place on May 3rd (Louis’ proposal and/or Blouis sex)
- 4.22 – Chuck and Blair have sex, May 6th
- 4.22 – Three weeks after May 6th, supposedly last week of May (around the 27-31)
- 5.01 – The seamstress guesses Blair is 6 weeks pregnant, Half of July? August? We have no idea if the six weeks after the finale include those three weeks.
So, to end this thingy, I’d say either is possible, but we all know and hope he is the one. This storyline could give Chuck many good things, starting from confidence, altruism, take care of other people, try to express his feelings and be less diffident, be a man his father never was. This guys, would never be given to a guest star. The guest star is just … a guest. Louis will leave at some point, and we won’t care about him anymore, so there’s no point for the writers to make Blair pregnant with a guy that isn’t a regular, and let’s be honest, has no chemistry with Leighton.
Few things I can add to this spec is that there were some things that showed us how even if Blair didn’t mention Chuck in the premiere, how the two are connected (and not only by the baby).
Chuck’s bruise, a bruise on his torso right under his heart, is meaningful. It can be paralleled with Blair and her tummy right now. Both have growing pains, but only Blair’s will effectively grow. Chuck’s pain is inside, hidden. The bruise is a proof that it’s there and knocking on his body that has kept it in a dark corner after the finale.
I just want to tell you that until we are proven otherwise, we shouldn’t give up on the baby. I am positive we’re getting our happy end someday. Chuck and Blair are important and they will always be. No matter now they are separated, they will be reunited by fate or something (eek even if I dislike the idea of fate after Lost). And wait to see things! Freak out before anything is sure, is wrong. Keep the positive thoughts and believe in Baby Bass! ; )